CD Real Sociedad 2-4 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +13%
1.26/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.07
-16% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.08.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
09.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
12.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
03.12.2023 Genesis PN 3-2 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.11.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
09.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN saw off CD Real Sociedad 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Genesis PN made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.33 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Genesis PN?

CD Real Sociedad 2-4 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 39%, draw 32%, Genesis PN 28%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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