Lobos UPNFM 1-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.70/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.15
+24% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
8 Corners 3
26.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
20.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
25.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-4 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
30.10.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.02.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and CD Victoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.50 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Lobos UPNFM 1-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 32%, draw 29%, CD Victoria 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Victoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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