CD Victoria 2-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
19%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.8pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
0.91/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.85
-39% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3 Corners 8
20.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
25.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-4 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
30.10.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.02.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
09.10.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-2 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria squeezed past Lobos UPNFM 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Victoria as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lobos UPNFM led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Victoria and 1.33 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Victoria 2-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 45%, draw 36%, Lobos UPNFM 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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