Alajuelense 1-0 Guadalupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
68%
+1.8pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.4pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.15/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.68
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Guadalupe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2023 Guadalupe Guadalupe 3-2 HT 2-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
04.03.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
01.09.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
07.08.2022 Guadalupe Guadalupe 1-3 HT 1-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
11.04.2022 Guadalupe Guadalupe 0-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
16.01.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 1-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY Guadalupe
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Guadalupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past Guadalupe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Alajuelense had 66% of the ball to Guadalupe's 34%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for Guadalupe.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Guadalupe?

Alajuelense 1-0 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Guadalupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 70%, draw 17%, Guadalupe 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
4 Aug 2025
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