Municipal Liberia 2-2 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
55%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.99/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.44
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-5 HT 0-3 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
15.02.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 2-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
01.12.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.08.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
13.05.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-3 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
09.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-2
AWAY Perez Zeledon
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia and Perez Zeledon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Municipal Liberia carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 64% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 36%, shots finished 19-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 0.50 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Municipal Liberia 2-2 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 59%, draw 25%, Perez Zeledon 16%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
4 Aug 2025
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