Perez Zeledon 0-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.40/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.63
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perez Zeledon
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
13.05.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-3 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
09.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
08.10.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
06.08.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
POST-MATCH Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia edged past Perez Zeledon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Municipal Liberia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Perez Zeledon and 2.40 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?

Perez Zeledon 0-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perez Zeledon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Perez Zeledon 40%, draw 31%, Municipal Liberia 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Perez Zeledon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perez Zeledon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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