Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guanacasteca v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 0-3
Guanacasteca
KOSTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Guanacasteca
KOSTK
3-2
HT 2-2
Alajuelense
KOSTA
Guanacasteca 1-0 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Guanacasteca squeezed past Alajuelense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Guanacasteca as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Guanacasteca had 47% of the ball to Alajuelense's 53%, shots finished 9-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guanacasteca and 2.67 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense?
Guanacasteca 1-0 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 42%, draw 28%, Alajuelense 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guanacasteca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.