Alajuelense 4-0 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
2.28/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.28
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 5-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
11.03.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
26.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-4 HT 0-3 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
15.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTK
20.09.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-2 HT 2-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
25.03.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
4-0
AWAY Guanacasteca
77% Ball Possession 23%
18 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense ran out comfortable winners over Guanacasteca 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Alajuelense had 77% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 23%, shots finished 18-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alajuelense and 1.67 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca?

Alajuelense 4-0 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 59%, draw 23%, Guanacasteca 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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