Alajuelense 5-0 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.5pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.26/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.11
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
26.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-4 HT 0-3 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
15.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTK
20.09.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-2 HT 2-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
25.03.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.01.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
5-0
AWAY Guanacasteca
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense ran out comfortable winners over Guanacasteca 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Alajuelense had 59% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 41%, shots finished 23-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alajuelense and 1.67 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca?

Alajuelense 5-0 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 55%, draw 27%, Guanacasteca 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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