Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.89
Over 2.5
46%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.09
No
66%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-12.7pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.1pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
31%
+22.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
69%
-22.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.4pp
66%
BTTS No
56%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
2.72/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.10
+12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
503 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
20.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
30.03.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
29.01.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
22.09.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa saw off Santos de Guapiles 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 63% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 37%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.33 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 68%, draw 17%, Santos de Guapiles 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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