Santos de Guapiles 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 67%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.78/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.73
-28% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
20.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
30.03.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
29.01.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
22.09.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
24.04.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1-3
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
45% Ball Possession 55%
2 Total Shots 6
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa beat Santos de Guapiles 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Santos de Guapiles had 45% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 55%, shots finished 2-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.17 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Santos de Guapiles 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 22%, draw 22%, Deportivo Saprissa 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Mar 2024
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