Guanacasteca 3-0 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
0.94/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.10
-20% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-4 HT 0-3 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
15.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTK
20.09.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-2 HT 2-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
25.03.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.01.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.08.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-2 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
3-0
AWAY Alajuelense
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca swept aside Alajuelense 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 52% of the ball to Alajuelense's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.83 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense?

Guanacasteca 3-0 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 30%, draw 25%, Alajuelense 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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