Municipal Liberia 1-0 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 16%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
2.24/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.24
+12% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-3 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
09.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
08.10.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
06.08.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-0
AWAY Perez Zeledon
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia edged past Perez Zeledon 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 60% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 40%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.00 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 59%, draw 19%, Perez Zeledon 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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