Municipal Liberia 2-1 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.95/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.23
+16% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.08.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
13.05.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-3 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
09.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
08.10.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
06.08.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-1
AWAY Perez Zeledon
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over Perez Zeledon 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 54% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 46%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Municipal Liberia and 0.67 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Municipal Liberia 2-1 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 43%, draw 31%, Perez Zeledon 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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