Perez Zeledon 1-5 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.71
Over 2.5
32%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
55%
+12.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
45%
-12.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.6pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.30/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.34
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perez Zeledon
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 2-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
01.12.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.08.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
13.05.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-3 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
09.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
08.10.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia swept aside Perez Zeledon 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Municipal Liberia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perez Zeledon and 2.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?

Perez Zeledon 1-5 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perez Zeledon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Perez Zeledon 38%, draw 31%, Municipal Liberia 31%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Perez Zeledon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
28 Apr 2025
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