Puntarenas FC 0-2 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
0.84/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.92
-29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTK
01.03.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
24.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
13.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-2 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puntarenas FC
0-2
AWAY Alajuelense
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense beat Puntarenas FC 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Puntarenas FC had 54% of the ball to Alajuelense's 46%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Puntarenas FC and 1.67 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense?

Puntarenas FC 0-2 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 27%, draw 30%, Alajuelense 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
28 Apr 2025
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