Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
33%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+99% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
24.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
13.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-2 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.11.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past Puntarenas FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Cup on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 56%, draw 26%, Puntarenas FC 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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