Alajuelense 3-2 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-6.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
2.17/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.19
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.11.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
01.05.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
27.02.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
18.09.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
3-2
AWAY Puntarenas FC
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense squeezed past Puntarenas FC 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alajuelense had 67% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 33%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alajuelense and 0.33 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Alajuelense 3-2 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 62%, draw 19%, Puntarenas FC 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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