Puntarenas FC 0-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.29/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.14
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.11.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
01.05.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
27.02.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
18.09.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.03.2014 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense squeezed past Puntarenas FC 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Puntarenas FC and 1.50 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense?

Puntarenas FC 0-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 27%, draw 28%, Alajuelense 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
18 Jan 2024
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