Municipal Liberia 0-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.61/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.19
+34% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.07.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-4 HT 0-3 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
0-1
AWAY CS Herediano
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano squeezed past Municipal Liberia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; CS Herediano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 52% of the ball to CS Herediano's 48%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 3.00 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Municipal Liberia 0-1 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 32%, draw 29%, CS Herediano 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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