Puntarenas FC 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

Puntarenas FC
1-1 HT 0-1
Alajuelense
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Costa Rica - Premier League – 2024/2025

Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.03
No
65%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
17%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
57%
Away Win
59%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
45%
-9.9pp
65%
BTTS No
55%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puntarenas FC v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.38/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.92
+34% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-2 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.11.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
01.05.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
27.02.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC and Alajuelense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alajuelense at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Puntarenas FC and 2.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense?

Puntarenas FC 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 17%, draw 26%, Alajuelense 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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