Alajuelense 4-0 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.4pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.06
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-2 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.11.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
01.05.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
4-0
AWAY Puntarenas FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense cruised past Puntarenas FC 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 48% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 52%, shots finished 20-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Alajuelense 4-0 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 58%, draw 24%, Puntarenas FC 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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