Santos de Guapiles 2-1 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
1.83/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.83
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
18.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-1 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
12.02.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
13.11.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
13.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.04.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles nicked a narrow win over Sporting San Jose 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 26%) promised a tight game; Santos de Guapiles found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.00 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Sporting San Jose?

Santos de Guapiles 2-1 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 40%, draw 33%, Sporting San Jose 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✗ Under 2.5
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