Sporting San Jose 1-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
2.07/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.91
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-1 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
12.02.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
13.11.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
13.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.04.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.02.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
1-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose and Santos de Guapiles shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting San Jose at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 53% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 47%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting San Jose and 0.67 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Santos de Guapiles?

Sporting San Jose 1-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 54%, draw 21%, Santos de Guapiles 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Sep 2024
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