Municipal Liberia 3-0 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.94/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.52
+14% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
3W-0D-1L
AWAY CS Cartagines
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
18.02.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
05.11.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
03.09.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
3-0
AWAY CS Cartagines
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia ran out comfortable winners over CS Cartagines 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 50% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 50%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.25 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Municipal Liberia 3-0 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 45%, draw 29%, CS Cartagines 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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