Municipal Liberia 3-1 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.67/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.42
+5% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
05.11.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
03.09.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
3-1
AWAY CS Cartagines
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia saw off CS Cartagines 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Municipal Liberia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 54% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 46%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.33 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Municipal Liberia 3-1 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 40%, draw 30%, CS Cartagines 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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