San Carlos 0-1 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.6pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.95/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.13
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
17.02.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
01.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
31.07.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
15.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
14.02.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 1-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
30.09.2022 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-1 HT 1-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose edged past San Carlos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Carlos and 1.17 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose?

San Carlos 0-1 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 53%, draw 28%, Sporting San Jose 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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