Santos de Guapiles 2-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-10.7pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.56/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.19
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
381 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
18.02.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
01.10.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
30.07.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
19.03.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
22.01.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
02.10.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles nicked a narrow win over Puntarenas FC 2-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; Santos de Guapiles found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.17 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Puntarenas FC?

Santos de Guapiles 2-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 33%, draw 35%, Puntarenas FC 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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22 Apr 2024
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