CS Herediano 1-2 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.34/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.23
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-0D-3L
AWAY San Carlos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
21.01.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.11.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 2-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
14.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
26.03.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-2 HT 1-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.01.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-3 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-2
AWAY San Carlos
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos squeezed past CS Herediano 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CS Herediano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 53% of the ball to San Carlos's 47%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CS Herediano and 1.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs San Carlos?

CS Herediano 1-2 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 42%, draw 30%, San Carlos 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CS Herediano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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