San Carlos 2-0 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.46/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.04
-7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.11.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 2-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
14.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
26.03.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-2 HT 1-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.01.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-3 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
02.10.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 2-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos beat CS Herediano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Carlos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Carlos and 2.00 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs CS Herediano?

San Carlos 2-0 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 42%, draw 30%, CS Herediano 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5
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