Grecia 0-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grecia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.42/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.20
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grecia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
26.11.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
22.09.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-1 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
16.04.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
12.02.2023 Grecia Grecia 4-0 HT 3-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
27.08.2022 Grecia Grecia 1-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grecia
0-1
AWAY Puntarenas FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grecia vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC edged past Grecia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Puntarenas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Grecia had 40% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 60%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grecia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grecia and 0.83 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Grecia vs Puntarenas FC?

Grecia 0-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grecia vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grecia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grecia 37%, draw 29%, Puntarenas FC 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Grecia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grecia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
28 Mar 2024
04:00 San Carlos vs CS Herediano Analysis →
05:00 CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa Analysis →