CS Herediano 0-1 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.9pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.83/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.27
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY San Carlos
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 2-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
14.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
26.03.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-2 HT 1-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.01.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-3 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
02.10.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 2-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
24.04.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
0-1
AWAY San Carlos
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos squeezed past CS Herediano 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CS Herediano at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CS Herediano had 57% of the ball to San Carlos's 43%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CS Herediano and 1.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs San Carlos?

CS Herediano 0-1 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 45%, draw 21%, San Carlos 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CS Herediano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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