Alajuelense 0-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.09/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/2.76
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.07.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
0-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
18 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and Municipal Liberia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alajuelense at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alajuelense had 64% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 36%, shots finished 24-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Alajuelense and 3.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Alajuelense 0-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 55%, draw 25%, Municipal Liberia 21%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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