Guanacasteca 2-2 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 30%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.60/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.21
+1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
03.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
08.05.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
06.03.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
04.09.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
08.08.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
2-2
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca and Santos de Guapiles couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guanacasteca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 57% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 43%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.33 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles?

Guanacasteca 2-2 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 42%, draw 26%, Santos de Guapiles 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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