Sporting San Jose 2-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.89/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.43
+21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
13.11.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
13.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.04.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.02.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
01.09.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-3 HT 0-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
2-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose squeezed past Santos de Guapiles 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting San Jose as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 57% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 43%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting San Jose and 0.50 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Santos de Guapiles?

Sporting San Jose 2-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 48%, draw 24%, Santos de Guapiles 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting San Jose) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
18 Apr 2024
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