Guanacasteca 0-1 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.14/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.34
-7% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY San Carlos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
11.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
06.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
29.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
26.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
11.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 1-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
0-1
AWAY San Carlos
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos edged past Guanacasteca 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; San Carlos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 51% of the ball to San Carlos's 49%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs San Carlos?

Guanacasteca 0-1 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 36%, draw 33%, San Carlos 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guanacasteca), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
18 Apr 2024
00:00 Puntarenas FC vs Perez Zeledon Analysis →
03:00 Sporting San Jose vs Santos de Guapiles Analysis →
05:00 Alajuelense vs Grecia Analysis →