San Carlos 1-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.73/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.36
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
09.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
06.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
29.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
26.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
11.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 1-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
28.04.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-3 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos and Guanacasteca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Carlos and 0.67 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Guanacasteca?

San Carlos 1-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 50%, draw 23%, Guanacasteca 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Carlos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Feb 2024
03:00 Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa Analysis →
06:00 Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC Analysis →
20:00 CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano Analysis →