CS Cartagines 1-3 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.9
Over 2.5
37%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.7
No
60%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
49%
+14.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
51%
-14.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
55%
-14.9pp
60%
BTTS No
45%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.87
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Cartagines
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
10.09.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
21.04.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-3 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
19.02.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
12.09.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-1 HT 2-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
22.06.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Cartagines
1-3
AWAY CS Herediano
70% Ball Possession 30%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano beat CS Cartagines 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Cartagines had 70% of the ball to CS Herediano's 30%, shots finished 5-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CS Cartagines and 1.17 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano?

CS Cartagines 1-3 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CS Cartagines 32%, draw 27%, CS Herediano 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Feb 2024
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