Municipal Liberia 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 52%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.22/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.15
-2% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 35% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 65%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Municipal Liberia 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 29%, draw 28%, Deportivo Saprissa 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Feb 2024
04:00 San Carlos vs Guanacasteca Analysis →
06:00 Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC Analysis →
20:00 CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano Analysis →