Alajuelense 3-1 Grecia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
76%
-13.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.1pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Grecia EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.23/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.24
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Grecia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Grecia Grecia 1-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
11.09.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.04.2023 Grecia Grecia 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
18.02.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 5-0 HT 3-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
02.10.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-3 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
3-1
AWAY Grecia
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Grecia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense saw off Grecia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Alajuelense had 68% of the ball to Grecia's 32%, shots finished 25-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for Grecia.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Grecia?

Alajuelense 3-1 Grecia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Grecia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 62%, draw 23%, Grecia 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
18 Apr 2024
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