Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 4 Aug 2026

Hapoel Beer Sheva
1-0 HT 1-0
Kızılyıldız
📅04/08/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Champions League – 2026/2027

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Kızılyıldız Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
38%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 33% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
21%
+17.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
56%
-18.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hapoel Beer Sheva v Kızılyıldız — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 61%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.03
-15% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -9%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
– Crosses 21.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Kızılyıldız — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
1-0
AWAY Kızılyıldız
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva nicked a narrow win over Kızılyıldız 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Beer Sheva found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Kızılyıldız?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Kızılyıldız in the Champions League on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 38%, draw 24%, Kızılyıldız 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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