Xelaju MC 3-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 4 Aug 2026

Xelaju MC
3-1 HT 1-0
Aurora
📅04/08/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2026/2027

Xelaju MC vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Xelaju MC v Aurora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -5%
2.09/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.81
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1

Xelaju MC vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Aurora
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2026 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
21.01.2026 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-0 HT 3-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
16.11.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-2 HT 2-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
14.09.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora GUAT
FAQ Xelaju MC vs Aurora
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Xelaju MC beat Aurora 3-1 in the Guatemala - National League on 4 Aug 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Xelaju MC and 1.25 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Aurora?

Xelaju MC 3-1 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 62%, draw 25%, Aurora 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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