Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 Rosenborg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Atletico Madrid (K) win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-17.7pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.0pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-1
AWAY Rosenborg (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Rosenborg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) and Rosenborg (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Madrid (K) carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 58% of the ball to Rosenborg (K)'s 42%, shots finished 25-5.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Rosenborg (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 Rosenborg (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Rosenborg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 62%, draw 21%, Rosenborg (K) 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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