KuPS (K) 1-3 Celtic (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.33
Over
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
20%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS (K)
1-3
AWAY Celtic (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KuPS (K) vs Celtic (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic (K) saw off KuPS (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KuPS (K) had 38% of the ball to Celtic (K)'s 62%, shots finished 17-23.

What was the final score of KuPS (K) vs Celtic (K)?

KuPS (K) 1-3 Celtic (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS (K) vs Celtic (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split KuPS (K) 19%, draw 30%, Celtic (K) 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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