Carl Zeiss Jena 5-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Sep 2024

Carl Zeiss Jena
5-1 HT 2-1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅04/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
55%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carl Zeiss Jena v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.51/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
-23% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
01.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
25.02.2018 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
09.09.2017 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena AL3
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena swept aside Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carl Zeiss Jena as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Carl Zeiss Jena 5-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 55%, draw 23%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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