Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.53/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.53
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Norderstedt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamburg II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 0-3 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
30.07.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 0-5 HT 0-3 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
04.02.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 3-2 HT 0-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
16.08.2022 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 3-3 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
05.12.2021 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
18.09.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-3 HT 1-1 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eintracht Norderstedt vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Norderstedt and Hamburg II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eintracht Norderstedt at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Eintracht Norderstedt and 2.00 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Eintracht Norderstedt vs Hamburg II?

Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Norderstedt vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Norderstedt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Norderstedt 44%, draw 26%, Hamburg II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Norderstedt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Norderstedt) ✓ BTTS Yes
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