04/09/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Alleread vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
20%
Draw
21%
51%
Away Win
61%
37%
Under 2.5
28%
63%
Over 2.5
72%
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
41%
BTTS No
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alleread v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alleread
EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY
HB Koge
EU Bookmakers 66%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+23% /
+23%
0.00/2.42
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.02/0.87
-100%
/
-23%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+102%
/
+35%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
6
253 · 68%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
526 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Alleread vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
HB Koge got the better of Alleread 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HB Koge as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Alleread vs HB Koge?
Alleread 0-2 HB Koge in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alleread vs HB Koge?
Before kick-off our model rated an HB Koge win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alleread 29%, draw 20%, HB Koge 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HB Koge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (HB Koge)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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DAK
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