Vejgaard BK 1-3 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
65%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
2.98
Over 2.5
74%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
47%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.5pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.3pp
64%
Away Win
74%
-10.1pp
26%
Under 2.5
30%
-4.4pp
74%
Over 2.5
70%
+4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 79%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.63/2.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.42
-35% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vejgaard BK vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg saw off Vejgaard BK 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Vejgaard BK vs Esbjerg?

Vejgaard BK 1-3 Esbjerg in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejgaard BK vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vejgaard BK 21%, draw 14%, Esbjerg 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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