04/09/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Chelyabinsk vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
24%
Draw
30%
44%
Away Win
43%
55%
Under 2.5
62%
45%
Over 2.5
38%
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
53%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelyabinsk v Fakel — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chelyabinsk
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fakel
EU Bookmakers 48%
+49% /
+49%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
1.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.75/0.74
+0%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+24%
/
+19%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
243 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
3.1
Chelyabinsk 1-1 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Chelyabinsk
1-1
AWAY
Fakel
48%
Ball Possession
52%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
FAQ
Chelyabinsk vs Fakel
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Chelyabinsk and Fakel shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Russia - FNL on 4 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-0.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Chelyabinsk had 48% of the ball to Fakel's 52%, shots finished 14-10.
What was the final score of Chelyabinsk vs Fakel?
Chelyabinsk 1-1 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelyabinsk vs Fakel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chelyabinsk 32%, draw 24%, Fakel 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fakel), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Fakel)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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RUS1
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4 Sep 2025