Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 Sep 2025

Spartak Kostroma
1-1 HT 0-1
Ural
📅04/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Spartak Kostroma vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Kostroma v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.49
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
198 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
1-1
AWAY Ural
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma and Ural couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 50% of the ball to Ural's 50%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Ural?

Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 35%, draw 26%, Ural 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ural), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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